State playing a waiting game

Evan Williams, trainer of State Of Play, fourth in last year's John Smith's Grand National, is a man of infinite patience, a virtue that might well be rewarded come April 10th at Aintree, writes Elliot Slater.

It often requires a horse with a touch of class to have what it takes to win a Grand National, and Williams' lightly raced 10-year-old still appears to have a number of good races left in him. With this in mind, he might be worth considering when placing your Grand National Free Bet(http://betting.ladbrokes.com/en/grand-national-free-bet).

The winner of the 2006 Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury has only had ten subsequent races and this term has only been since once, when pulling up having looked in need of the outing in Denman's Hennessy romp in November.

Ever since State of Play ran so well at Aintree last year Evans has planned specifically for the Grand National and for nothing else. A couple of mistakes on the second circuit knocked State of Play out of his stride, but he gamely came right back into the reckoning at the second last, only to find the front three getting away from home on the run from the last.

But for those two errors it is arguable that State Of Play might have gone very close indeed to winning the greatest race of all, and given a fair racing weight and a slightly better round of jumping there are good reasons for believing the Vale of Glamorgan based gelding could have a big chance in this year's renewal.

A flat galloping left-handed track such as the National course at Aintree is ideally suited to State Of Play's style of running, and coming to the race after a good break is exactly the same tactic as was successfully employed when he won the Hennessy on his seasonal bow.

With regular partner Paul Moloney likely to be in the saddle once again, the pairing look set to give supporters a very big run for their money when it comes to Aintree Grand National betting.

Buckler in the Market for more National success

Bob Buckler enjoyed his finest hour when training Niche Market to a famous success in last year's Irish Grand National, and the Somerset-based handler is hoping for more big race glory when his stable star heads to the Aintree Grand National in April, writes Elliot Slater.

Niche Market, a thorough stayer, had run well in the National Hunt Chase over four miles at the Cheltenham Festival before hitting the headlines with his shock 33/1 success at Fairyhouse under Harry Skelton. Following a pipe-opener at Wincanton on his seasonal return the Presenting gelding ran an absolute cracker to finish third to the mighty Denman in the Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury in November. He then failed to handle the very heavy ground on a return visit to the track a month later.

There is no doubt that Niche Market is a horse who is at his best on a decent surface. With such conditions normally prevailing at Aintree there are plenty of reasons for optimism from the Buckler camp. Time and again both trainer and jockey have said their horse has no gears to speak of, but is simply a genuine out and out galloper - just the type that is ideally suited by the flat, galloping Aintree circuit.

As an Irish National winner Niche Market would not be winning out of turn subsequently at Aintree. In the last 22 years three winners of the Fairyhouse marathon have gone on to win at Aintree - Rhyme 'n Reason (1988), Bobbyjo (1999), and most recently Numbersixvalaverde (2006).

The Grand National betting odds make the horse a 20/1 shot before the publication of the weights for the race and Niche Market appears to have ticks in most of the right boxes for those looking for a potential winner.

King's stayers heading straight to Cheltenham

Having enjoyed mixed fortunes with his two World Hurdle candidates last weekend trainer Alan King has confirmed that both Karabak and Katchit will not be seen again on a racecourse until the big day itself, writes Elliot Slater.

Cheltenham's Bishops Cleeve Hurdle was due to be the final preparatory race for the King duo, but while Katchit took his chance and ran well to be a brave third, Karabak was forced to miss the race after failing to please his handler prior to the off.

Karabak, currently 6/1 second favourite for the Ladbrokes World Hurdle behind odds-on Big Bucks, was last seen in action when going under by three-and-a-half lengths in the Long Walk Hurdle. The plan was to get another run into him before the Cheltenham Festival, but King has now decided that his World Hurdle first string will manage just as well without another outing.

However, Karabak seems to prefer going on the softer side of good, so the ground on the day could have a significant impact on his National Hunt steeple chase odds.

Katchit, who has failed to score since his famous success in the 2008 Champion Hurdle where he outstayed Osana by a length, proved to connections that the will to win is still there with his gutsy effort at Prestbury Park last time. No less pleasing was the way in which the seven-year-old Kalanisi gelding dealt with the Cheltenham hill on his first attempt at three miles. This suggests that what he may have lost in speed over the last couple of seasons he has gained in stamina.

King knows what it takes to win the Ladbrokes World Hurdle having sent out My Way de Solzen to land the 2006 renewal. Blazing Bailey also performed creditably on a number of occasions in the race, including when third to the great Inglis Drever in 2007.

Whatever happens, the Ladbrokes World Hurdle should be the highlight of fantastic day of Cheltenham Festival horse racing.

Simcock's star is in the ascendant

Despite the news that his stable star Darley Sun has been sold to the Godolphin operation, there is no doubt that young Newmarket handler David Simcock is a trainer to follow in 2010, writes Elliot Slater.

2009 was an excellent year for 37-year-old Simcock as he sent out a career best 44 winners, including Ascot scorers Ahla Wasahl and Spirit of Dubai. Then Darley Sun, previously runner-up in the Doncaster Cup, romped away and justified favouritism in the Cesarewitch in October.

On official figures, Simcock improved Darley Sun some 40lbs during his three-year-old career. The horse landed a Class 5 Nottingham handicap in May, won a Class 2 Ascot handicap in July, came second in a Group 2 in September and then landed a nationwide gamble in one of the most competitive handicap events in the whole racing calendar.

Doubtless Simcock, now with more than 70 horses under his care at Trillium Place, was disappointed to lose his stable star but he surely understands that money talks. When Sheikh Mohammed comes knocking at your door you'd be a fool to resist. Darley Sun's job however has been done.

In advertising the skills of the former assistant to Ian Balding and Luca Cumani, the Tiger Hill colt put Simcock's name well and truly on the racing map and contributed significantly to the previously unheralded yard passing the £0.5 million mark for the season. A fine achievement.

Ahla Wasahl is now comfortably ensconced in the luxurious surrounds of the mind-boggling Meydan racecourse and will take her chance at the Dubai Carnival which begins this week. A prominent showing from the four-year-old filly will further enhance the Simcock reputation before a truly international audience.

I've absolutely no doubt that, granted the necessary luck, David Simcock will make further progress up the training ladder this year.

Meanwhile, all eyes will be on Denman in the coming weeks as he continues his preparations for this year's Gold Cup at Cheltenham.

However, the pundits will also be keeping tabs on trials for the Grand National


Just follow Lucy for juicy profits

With the jumps game in the semi-permanent deep freeze at the moment, there has been precious little action to report of late. However, after scanning through a few statistics one name, that of Newmarket handler Lucy Wadham, has jumped out as a trainer to follow right now, writes Elliot Slater.

I've been something of a fan of Lucy Wadham for some time. She is a trainer who has a relatively small string of horses but who seems to get the very best out of them and maintains a highly respectable strike rate year after year. The gallant mare United was a tremendous standard bearer for the yard in recent years winning nearly a quarter of a million pounds in prize money before her retirement. She also bagged a Grade 1 event at Punchestown, two Grade 2s and a runner-up spot at the Cheltenham Festival last season.

Newmarket-trained horses have managed to win their share of races on the all-weather tracks during the Siberian freeze, suggesting that the gallops at HQ are getting the better of Jack Frost. This fact is borne out by the excellent form of Wadham's few runners during this spell.

In the two weeks to January 13th, the yard have had just four runners, winning with 10/1 shot Queen Poline on New Year's Eve and then having three runners at Southwell's inaugural all-weather card. Hoback Junction (25/1) ran a great race to be a close second to a Nicky Henderson charge. An hour later Aviador (11/1) also performed with credit to be a good third to a nice horse of Kevin Ryan's. To highlight the form of the yard, Wadham's Brixen (33/1) made virtually all the running to score comfortably in her outing.

It seems clear that the Newmarket handler's team is in great form and are being kept fit and well despite the Arctic conditions. In short, Lucy Wadham's horses are flying at the moment, and I would strongly advise that you take a close interest in her runners whilst the snow is on the ground and for a little while after.

Meanwhile, the odds for the Grand National are really starting to look interesting and could be worth keeping an eye on.

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